Stacked Deck

In their "Breaking Points" podcast, Krystal Ball and Saagar Enjeti feature an August 3 Politico article which noted that Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee Executive Director

Rep. Sean Patrick Maloney (D-N.Y.) followed that bleak forecast, which was confirmed by multiple people familiar with the conversation, with new polling that showed Democrats falling behind Republicans by a half-dozen points on a generic ballot in battleground districts. Maloney advised the party to course-correct ahead of 2022 by doing more to promote President Joe Biden’s agenda, which remains popular with swing voters.

The polling was commissioned by the DCCC itself, which suggests the Democratic Party is even further behind, as Enjeti noted.  He maintained that Republicans are poised to take control of the House of Representatives with "all culture war all the time"- pandemic restrictions; a "defund the police" message amidst a soaring murder rate; critical race theory; immigration. Enjeti cited a bad "optimism number" among the American people, and co-host Ball pointed out that the out party typically loses congressional seats in an off-year election, with GOP gerrymandering another obstacle to overcome.

Democrats don't seem to understand that those culture war factors are critical, as Politico adds

A Democratic messaging blitz this month on Biden's priorities is set to get help from a White House communications war room that will activate while members are back in their districts. Around the country, Biden’s Cabinet is being dispatched to talk up jobs and infrastructure in swing districts in states such as Iowa, New York and New Jersey.

But "jobs and infrastructure" won't be enough.  Politico identifies Democrats' "strong tool in their arsenal" as that

Much of Biden’s agenda polls strongly, including the party’s $1.9 trillion Covid relief bill that included aid for small businesses as well as huge safety net expansions.

The problem, congressional Democrats say, is making sure they get the credit.

If the bipartisan infrastructure bill is passed and signed into law without the reconciliation bill, the legislation the Administration and its surrogates tout as the President's major accomplishment will be a bill passed with bipartisan support. The White House will crow about the President's success at "reaching across the aisle" working with Republicans.

It would be a replay of the 2020 presidential election/congressional elections. Democrats were able to retake the Senate only because President Trump's campaigning there backfired, as it was likely to do.  Still, the Democratic senatorial candidates in Georgia barely won and a Senate majority effected only with the vice-president's vote. Democrats were expected to gain many seats in the House and instead suffered a net loss of ten.

By contrast, Joe Biden had defeated Donald Trump with voters opting for the Democrat touting his bipartisan bonafides and predicting that the GOP "fever" would subside if he were elected. Why not, voters concluded, vote for Biden and for Republicans down the ballot if it would bring about comity in government? They could have their cake and eat it, too. Kumbaya, my Lord.

Those culture war issues will be difficult to overcome. Congressional Democrats must continue demanding that the bipartisan infrastructure bill be enacted only with the bolder, more meaningful, Democratic reconciliation bill, which in the Senate would need only 50 votes for approval .  Otherwise, voters are likely to conclude once again that the combination of President Biden and a Republican Congress is the perfect ticket.

 

Share |

Premise

This is a reasonable question. It's also answered, by the very words of someone clearly defending critical race theory while claiming it doesn't exist.

If you feel guilty when our country's history of slavery and official racial discrimination are brought up, since your weren't involved in those things, what exactly are you feeling guilty about? https://t.co/bSFiWFYvQF

— Pé (@4everNeverTrump) August 7, 2021

 

At :36 of the complete video of the topic aired on Friday's Real Time with Bill Maher, the host asks each of his two guests to explain what he believes constitutes Critical Race Theory.

After Ben Shapiro gives his explanation, Malcolm Nance (at 2:34) maintains

It's not just African-Americans, right, it's also the Scalp Act of 1749, where for 300 modern dollars you had to cut off the head or the hair of an Indian to prove that you've got them out of the way so they could settle. That's a little bit of American history that people should know about. The Chinese exclusion acts of the 1840s. These are things we don't talk about.

That's inaccurate. The Scalp Act of 1749 was an act (rescinded a few years later) imposed by the British colonial government.  The law to which Nance refers dates to 1756 and the government of Pennsylvania.

That's not a trivial error, or at least not off-topic, because Critical Race Theory pertains to American government. Making today's Americans feel guilty, or accept accountability,  for the past applies to what the American- not British- government is responsible for.

It's hard to evaluate Shapiro's reply, that in fact we do talk about it, because Nance never made it clear whom the "we" is..

Nonetheless, Nance had suggested that Shapiro and/or others would like to erase history and  responsibility for it. That was a harbinger of his remark that demonstrated that, contrary to Pe's implication, proponents of Critical Race Theory are intent on making individuals (potential allies) feel guilty. At 3:31, Nance began an answer with

You know, when my great-great-grandfather ran away from slavery to join the 111th U.S. Colored Troops and fight against the south keeping human beings as slaves, he didn't think, you know what, in 150 years my great-great-grandson's gonna have to sit on stage and argue with a guy who thinks that's all right.

"A guy who thinks that's all right" is only slightly more diplomatic than I know that you actually support slavery. There was, and is, no indication that slavery pleases Ben Shapiro.  But there was Malcolm Nance claiming that Shapiro is so enamored of keeping human beings enslaved that Nance, as he put it, has to sit on stage to argue otherwise.

Supporters of Critical Race Theory have not denied that guilt is a fundamental premise of Critical Race Theory. Transferring the sins of the father to the sons and daughters is an old and divisive strategy, and in this case likely to backfire.

 

 

Share |

Tweet Of The Day- Cori Bush's America

We all owe a debt of gratitude to Representative Cori Bush of Missouri, who has given us a glimpse of life with fully defunded police forces.

um, yes, this lawmaker actually does say that https://t.co/Pl0KbKtQkD

— Hillel Neuer (@HillelNeuer) August 5, 2021

  

Surely you exaggerate, Mr. Neuer. 

Not in the least, it turns out, because Bush, a member of "The Squad" elected to the House of Representatives in 2020, remarks as seen in the video below (complete video here)

But this is the thing- I won't let them get off. You can't get that off. I'm going to make sure that I have security because I know I have had attempts on my life and I have too much work to do, there are too many people that need help right now for e to allow that.

So if I end  up spending 299,000,if I spend 10 more dollars on it- you know what, I got to be here to do the work. So suck it up and defunding the police has to happen. We need to defund the police and put that money into social service safety net.

However, as Representative Bush herself would say.... this is the thing. Undermining police and transferring money into social services is an interim measure for Cori Bush. She would go much further.

With all due respect, Mr. President—let’s talk about losing people. We lost Michael Brown Jr. We lost Breonna Taylor. We’re losing our loved ones to police violence.

It’s not a slogan. It’s a mandate for keeping our people alive. Defund the police. https://t.co/Wsxp1Y1bBi

— Cori Bush (@CoriBush) December 2, 2020

With all due respect, Mr. President—let’s talk about losing people. We lost Michael Brown Jr. We lost Breonna Taylor. We’re losing our loved ones to police violence.

It’s not a slogan. It’s a mandate for keeping our people alive. Defund the police.

Shorter Bush: "A slogan? No, we really mean defund all the police." One resident of Bush's district, who supports the congresswoman generally and on this issue, understands the latter's intent. She comments

We’re all concerned about security and want to be safe in our communities but I think that the police itself as an institution has a really traumatic history that is highly problematic. I support her efforts to want to defund the police and I also think it’s important simultaneously to try and figure out how to have the safe communities that we all want without necessarily continuing with institution of the police.

But the implications of Bush's position, discontinuing the institution of the police, and its implications are understood best by this journalist:

The use of incredibly expensive private security by those pushing to defund/abolish police is a prime example of neoliberalism in action. It’s easy to demonize the public sector if you can afford the private, whether it’s in education, health care or in this case, safety.

— Lee Fang (@lhfang) August 5, 2021

As Cori Bush herself is demonstrating, people will always need security and will demand it. Defund the police, public sector employees paid by the public and ultimately accountable to it, and there still will be private companies providing security. They will be assuring safety for the rich- or, as in the case of Representative Bush, those with campaign funds to pay for it.

Increasingly huddled in gated communities, the very well off will have all the desired armed security acting with all the rights of private companies.  All others, such as the people of the city of St. Louis (who dominate Bush's district) will have to fend for themselves. The two Americas, wealthy and the non-wealthy, will be increasingly distinguished one from another and increasingly hostile to each other.

That will apply, as Lee Fang notes, "whether it's in education, health care, or in this case, safety." Or as Cori Bush would herself put it, "suck it up, suckers."

 

Share |

Tweet Of The Day: Childlessness

J.D. Vance is a fake, a phony, and fraud (hat tip to the late Bob Grant) and more than anything, a poseur. However, he's a poseur who may become the next US Senator from, as Rachel Maddow would patronizingly put it, "the great state of Ohio."  Credit for this catch goes to a Washington Post reporter.

JD Vance - and many conservatives like him - believe that Americans who don’t have children don’t have a stake in the country’s future … https://t.co/RJabslEbN5

— Eugene Scott (@Eugene_Scott) August 5, 2021

Responding to Scott, one tweeter noted "And to think, he is bought and paid for and brought to you by a gay, childless Silicon Valley billionaire. Wonder if he got prior approval from his owner before sending this out."

Vance probably could get approval from ruthless libertarian right-wing multi-billionaire Peter Thiel for anything that would help the Yale law school graduate and self-styled populist get to the Senate.  Thiel once boasted at a GOP convention "I am proud to be a Republican," as if identifying with the Party of Trump was a badge of honor. That was immediately after boasting "I am proud to be gay," as if it were a choice.

Because that's how it is for a large chunk of Republicans- gay or straight is a choice while to have a child should not be optional. J.D. Vance is alright with childless parents, unless they want to have a say in their country's future. It's not only race now, but also family status determining whether the individual is a first-class or second-class citizen.

This rhetoric is so hurtful to so many people, including my friend who just had her 3rd miscarriage in a year. Whether you're childless by choice or by chance your life still matters, no matter what J.D. Vance says.

Periodically, Vance's ideological brothers and sisters, who won't admit global warming is real because they are "not scientists," will confidently declare that life begins at conception. However, when a serious conservative with a legitimate chance at becoming a United States senator suggests that childless couples don't deserve the right to vote, it becomes clearer that it's not about abortion. It's about forced-birth: bear a child or bear the consequences.

 

|Share |

King James

"Hillary Clinton" trended on Twitter Wednesday morning in the wake of the victory of Cuyahoga County Commissioner and county Democratic party chief Shantel Brown over Nina Turner in the special election primary to represent the people of Ohio's 10th Congressional District. Tweets included

One of the things the left needs to learn is that Democrats...like Democrats. We don't hate Joe Biden. We don't hate Hillary Clinton. You will never get to a majority of your party by attacking your allies. And if you want to form a new third party, I mean, good luck.

f you let Nina’s loss make you abandon trying to get progressives elected, you’re doing exactly what Hillary Clinton would want. Just remember that

a lot of people are gonna treat the election in #oh11 as a referendum on Bernie and socialism or whatever, but thats wrong. the election is about whether or not hillary clinton has enough sway to determine a primary anymore

Hillary Clinton supported Shontel Brown Bernie Sanders supported Nina Turner.

Revenge is a dish best served by Hillary Clinton

Hillary Clinton endorsed Shontel EARLY AF. Before MANY others. This is her proxy win.

Hillary Clinton no doubt harbored a sense of satisfaction Wednesday after the candidate she endorsed defeated the candidate who initially endorsed Clinton for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2016, switched to Sanders, then refused to endorse the Democratic nominee against Donald Trump in the general election. She has a right to this emotion, especially because, if Shontel Brown had lost, Clinton haters, left and right, would have crowed.

But make no mistake about it. This election wasn't about Clinton, or Clinton v. Sanders, or even Joe Biden, whom Brown declared her fealty toward while she campaigned.

Megastar Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and two-time presidential candidate and Vermont senator Bernie Sanders, enthusiastic supporters of Turner, were heavily invested in the race. However, on July 26 we learned

So, too, is Rep. Jim Clyburn (D-SC), the powerful House majority whip who will be campaigning for Shontel Brown, a Democratic Party establishment favorite and a Cuyahoga County party chair, before voters head to the polls on August 3. The South Carolina congressman, 81, endorsed Brown in late June, upping the ante of an election that is largely split along generational as well as ideological lines.

Brown had been trailing Turner before Clyburn backed her. “When I first got the frantic call, they told me she was polling at about 15, 20%,” the South Carolina congressman said in an interview with Jewish Insider on Friday. “If it means anything,” he recalled concluding, “it means I need to up my involvement, and so I think that’s why I did.”

Since then, Brown has been gaining momentum, with additional support from outside independent expenditures as well new endorsements from pro-Israel Democrats in Congress. Earlier this month, the influential political arm of the Congressional Black Caucus threw its support behind Brown, who, like Turner, is Black.

“I was pleased that they did,” Clyburn, who is a member of the CBC, remarked, while adding that he had no involvement in the endorsement process because he does not sit on the PAC’s board. “I didn’t play a role in it.”

The Congressional Black Caucus as an organization played a crucial role, whether or not Clyburn had a hand in its endorsement of Brown. But

Either way, Clyburn’s high-profile endorsement seems to have opened up a plausible path to victory for his preferred candidate in the final weeks of the race. A mid-July survey commissioned by Democratic Majority for Israel, which is backing Brown, put the Democratic congressional hopeful at 36% among likely voters, just five points behind Turner. An independent poll from early July, conducted by TargetPoint Consulting, had both candidates tied at 33%.

Clyburn, who is credited with clinching the nomination for President Joe Biden in last year’s presidential primaries, expressed optimism that his endorsement of Brown would have a similar impact. “I hope so,” he told JI. “I also hope that people know that she is a good person who would make a great congressperson.”

Casual fans know LeBron James, among the half dozen greatest non-centers to have played in the National Basketball Association, as "King James." For better or worse: move over, LeBron. There is a new King James in town, this one hailing from South Carolina.

 

Share |

Tweet Of The Day- Apology

Nothing but class: 

I wrote that message in a private channel. I did not expect it to be published. But it was still a mistake. I apologize. It was arrogant and idiotic. A swarm of Russian trolls was accusing me of failure, and I responded in a most unprofessional way. Explanation, not excuse. https://t.co/OGxdGrcaed

— Michael McFaul (@McFaul) August 1, 2021

"Still a mistake;" "arrogant and idiotic;" "responded in a most unprofessional way;" "explanation, not excuse." That has all the elements of a genuine apology- I made a mistake, I was wrong to do it and there was no excuse.  That's the way it's done.

Share |

Matthew Yglesias comments on SARS-CoV-19 and Hayes Brown on voter suppression. Can you guess the two things the messages have in common? (One is very obvious.).

Yes except for his vocal anti-vaccine posturing, DeSantis has been pro-vaccination.

Had he stuck to pro-vaccination rather than done the vocal anti-vaccine posturing, lives could have been saved.

How many? More than zero. Hope it was worth it to him. https://t.co/96hLIl7okn

— Matthew Yglesias (@mattyglesias) August 1, 2021

Brown explains

Until we get rid of that or find a way to really shame these Republican senators who are so against the idea of expanding voting rights into voting for such a bill, then I don't see how you can out-organize the other two parts. You can't out-organize gerrymandering; you can't out-organize someone who can say "nope, we just tipped the results of the vote.

There’s no way to out-organize an assault on voting rights. “The Democrats are looking at this too narrowly,” says @HayesBrown. Time to remove the filibuster or “find a way to really shame” the opposition.😖 #Velshi pic.twitter.com/azpTiXW9tU

— Ali Velshi (@AliVelshi) August 1, 2021

They're both right. Yglesias recognizes that DeSantis would have saved lives if he had stayed the course on vaccination. And Brown realizes that eliminating the filibuster is crucial to protecting the right to vote. Simply ginning up the Democratic vote to try to compensate for voter suppression (which may have saved Joe Biden's presidential bid) is insufficient.

But they both make the same, understandable and common, error of Democrats/liberals and centrists.

Brown states "... or find a way to really shame these Republican senators...." Similarly, Yglesias remarks "hope it was worth it to him."

Does Yglesias really hope it is "worth it" to DeSantis? Of course not. He wants the Florida governor to feel bad about it.

That's not going to happen- or at least it won't happen unless the anti-vaccination posture backfires politically on DeSantis.  He will not feel guilt or shame and those GOP senators will not be shamed into expanding voting rights.

Once and probably future Virginia governor about his opponent:

Glenn Youngkin sees no issue attending an “election integrity” rally that even some Republicans are calling a “conspiracy-palooza.”

By attending this event, he is helping conspiracy theorists attack our democracy. He has no shame.

— Terry McAuliffe (@TerryMcAuliffe) August 1, 2021

Shame and guilt or feeling bad is not how they roll.  Republican members of Congress enthusiastically followed Donald Trump throughout the latter's presidency. They saw him in Helsinki siding with a former KGB agent against our nation's intelligence services, try to pressure a foreign government to dig up dirt on an American politician, work hand-in-hand with a deadly coronavirus, and encourage insurrectionists intending to murder the Vice-President and possibly themselves.

It was all fine with them, the end game the establishment of one-party rule and evisceration of democracy. Democrats or liberals can plead "you should be ashamed" or "I hope you're happy with yourselves" and they will not change. It's who they are.

 

Share |